Speaking of the growing number of individuals around the country with handgun carry permits, concealed carry of weapons permits, and whatever other equivalent permits and licenses there may be out there, I was going to give John Lott the quote of the day for this post, but then I realized I could not replicate his math. So, instead, I will simply embark on some mathematics of my own.
From 01OCT87 to 31JAN10, Florida has issued 1,704,624 concealed weapon/firearm licenses, with 692,621 permits still valid.
Of those nearly-two-million licenses, and in those not-quite 23 years, a grand total of 5,308 licenses have been revoked, with 592 of those being reinstated since January of 1990.
Taking out those licenses that were reinstated (given that reinstating the license indicates that the state did something wrong when it first revoked the license), that gives me an overall failure rate over those 23 years of 0.277%. If we take out the 522 licenses that should never have been granted due to crimes committed prior to licensure (something the government of Florida should have caught when background checking applicants), the failure rate drops to 0.246% (though that is not entirely accurate, given that some of those licenses might have been reinstated).
Additionally, the state of Florida’s failure rate for licenses in general (i.e. the state not catching disqualifying crimes committed before licensure) is 0.031%, and the state’s failure rate at revoking licenses (i.e. the state erroneously revoking a license) is 11.2%.
The important take-away from all those numbers? After 23 years of licensing those who wish to carry handguns, Florida has only had to revoke, at most, 0.277% of those licenses for cause.
As a somewhat random reminder, I would point out that Mayors Against
Illegal Guns has had 2.2% of its members arrested, charged, and convicted of criminal activities (assuming 500 mayors – a number that is fiercely debated and probably artificially inflated).
Comparatively speaking, Mayors Against
Illegal Guns members are almost eight times more likely to be convicted of crimes than Florida concealed firearm license holders – but that number is based off 23 years of licenses versus four years of MA IG. Assuming the mayors had as much history as the licenses, and assuming the same trend (11 mayors convicted in four years – a sizeable assumption, but it is all the data we have to operate on), you are looking at MA IG members being over 45 times more likely to be convicted of crimes than Florida concealed firearm license holders. How funny is that?